ALK wrote:Митяй wrote:
Тут-то они и перегрызутся.
Кстати, во многих проектах (я бы сказал - в подавляющем числе) гарантированный средний результат гораздо и заведомо лучше, чем непредсказуемо гениальный. И примадонны от программирования берутся на работу менеджерами с большой опаской.
Помните анекдот про Вовочку, насчет того, что "ты мне так всю физику на ... сведешь"? Так и у Вас. Ну не сошелся свет клином на программировании.
Я недавно приводил ссылку. Статья в NY Times, можно сказать, отражает панические настроения...
Очевидно, что уплавают места для КВАЛИФИЦИРОВАННОГО рабочего персонала.
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/10/05/busin ... rtner=UNTD
Boeing, for example, employs engineers at a design center in Moscow, while having shrunk its engineering staff in Seattle. Morgan Stanley, the investment firm, is adding jobs in Bombay, but not in New York — employing Indian engineers as well as analysts who collect corporate data and scrutinize balance sheets for stock market specialists in New York.
Near the low end of the job-loss estimates sit John McCarthy, research analyst at Forrester Research Inc., and Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at Global Insights. For them the loss is 500,000 to 600,000 jobs over the past 30 months, again mostly in manufacturing — with Mr. McCarthy suggesting that the 600,000 might turn out to be 800,000. His research focuses more on the future: Starting in January 2000 and running through 2015, globalization of American production
will have eliminated 3.3 million jobs at home, he estimates.
Some are trying niche estimates. Roshi Sood, a government analyst at the Gartner Group, for example, estimates roughly that state government cutbacks have pushed overseas the work of 3,400 people once employed in the United States, either on public payrolls or on the payrolls of companies that contract with state government.
In Indiana, for example, the Department of Workforce Development recently chose an Indian company, TCS America, to maintain and update its computer programs, using high-speed telecommunications to carry out the contract. The TCS bid was $8 million below those submitted by two American competitors, Mr. Sood said.
Now political groups are offering estimates. The Progressive Policy Institute, which is affiliated with the Democratic Party, will soon publish its calculation of manufacturing jobs shifted overseas since George W. Bush took office just before the recession began, said Rob Atkinson, a vice president. Not surprisingly, the estimate — imputed from trade data — is on the high side:
800,000 jobs lost to overseas production.
