VladG2 wrote:.. Доллар теряет свои вес относительно всех валют, а не только рубля. Да, американские товары становятся более конкурентно-способны. Но как то меня не радует что на доллар я могу все меньше купить.
Так и на другие валюты, включая рубль, тоже с каждым годом можно купить всё меньше :паин1:
Да ето так, в данном случе меня заботит то что из за паденя доллара я плачу болшие цени на автомабили. Есть конечно инфляционная составляусчая, но есть и не малии вклад вызванныи падением доллара. В Хонде и Тоете, хоть и не так много но все же 20 процентов деталеи из Японии.
Даваите россиские цены отдельно обсудим (большая тема).
THE U.S. DOLLAR has fallen 12% against the euro in the past year and 50% in the past five years, hurt in part by worries about America's massive trade gap with the rest of the world. Meanwhile, the dollar index, a trade-weighted index measuring the dollar against the euro, yen, British sterling, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar and Swedish Krona, has fallen more than 9% in the past year and 28% in the past five years. The selling has been especially intense lately, and the euro traded Tuesday at nearly $1.32, its highest level against the greenback since March 2005.
The dollar has not fallen as far against other currencies -- it is down only 3% against the Japanese yen in the past year and 6.6% in the past five years, and the Chinese yuan has appreciated just 5.25% against the dollar since July 2005, when China's central bank instituted a one-time revaluation of its undervalued currency. But many analysts worry that a slowing economy and the yawning U.S. trade and budget deficits may eventually sour sentiment against the greenback and in favor of a broader variety of currencies.
AN ALREADY PRECARIOUS dollar was hurt further last week when the German IFO business-confidence survey hit a 15-year high, a sign of unexpected strength in the European economy. A day later, a Chinese central banker talked of the risks of holding excessive dollar reserves, raising fears that China -- which is accused of hoarding dollars to keep its yuan cheap, artificially boosting its exporters -- was about to dump some of its greenbacks.
Last week's selling occurred on thin volume and should be taken with a grain of salt, observers warned. But some analysts think a weak housing market and
slowing economy may force the Federal Reserve to cut U.S. interest rates next year, while the European Central Bank seems poised to keep raising rates to fight inflation. Investors seeking higher yields could thus be less likely to invest in the U.S. When investors pull their money out of lower-yielding U.S. bonds for nondollar-denominated investments, it has the same effect as selling dollars.
The seemingly insatiable U.S. appetite for imports has a similar impact. Buying clothing made in China, for example, effectively is the sale of dollars in exchange for goods made of yuan-denominated materials and labor.
THE DOLLAR'S RECENT SLIDE seems to be following a seasonal pattern of recent years, when it has tumbled at the end of the year only to bounce back in the new year. But the selling has typically resumed in short order, and the dollar's trend of the past several years has been negative. Until the U.S. trade gap narrows significantly, this may continue to be the case. In the short run, analysts expect the euro to trade between $1.2950 and $1.3250, while the dollar moves between 115.00 yen and 117.50 yen. More pressure on the dollar seems likely if coming U.S. economic data are weak enough to raise fears of a hard landing for the economy and to raise expectations that a series of Fed interest-rate cuts is on the way -- though that is not the consensus view now. China could take baby steps toward revaluing the yuan in preparation for next month's visit to China by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. But the Fed could help support the dollar by continuing to talk about inflation risks, quelling market fears of rate cuts. European central bankers may be less likely to raise interest rates if they think the euro's appreciation is hurting economic growth in the euro zone. And analysts doubt China will make any sudden, drastic moves to revalue its currency, for fear of upsetting its economy.
The dollar has not fallen as far against other currencies -- it is down only 3% against the Japanese yen in the past year and 6.6% in the past five years, and the Chinese yuan has appreciated just 5.25% against the dollar since July 2005, when China's central bank instituted a one-time revaluation of its undervalued currency. But many analysts worry that a slowing economy and the yawning U.S. trade and budget deficits may eventually sour sentiment against the greenback and in favor of a broader variety of currencies.
http://www.x-rates.com/d/USD/table.html Только что посмотрел курс к Корейским вонам. Когда уезжал из Кореи, в 2000 году, было примерно 1400-1500 вон за доллар, теперь 930. Как не крути, 50 процентов дешевле.
— Да ведь ты не умен, я полагаю, — ответил Затворник. — Шел бы лучше в социум. А то вон куда забрел. Правда, ступай…
Он махнул рукой в направлении узкой грязно-желтой полоски, которая чуть извивалась и подрагивала, — даже не верилось, что так отсюда выглядит огромная галдящая толпа.
— Я бы пошел, — сказал Шестипалый, — только они меня прогнали.
— Да? Это почему? Политика?
Шестипалый кивнул и почесал одной ногой другую. Затворник взглянул на его ноги и покачал головой.
— Настоящие?
— А то какие же. Они мне так и сказали — у нас, можно сказать, самый решительный этап приближается, а у тебя на ногах по шесть пальцев… Нашел, говорят, время…
— Какой еще «решительный этап»?
— Не знаю. Лица у всех перекошенные, особенно у Двадцати Ближайших, а больше ничего не поймешь. Бегают, орут.
— А, — сказал Затворник, — понятно. — Он, наверно, с каждым часом все отчетливей и отчетливей? А контуры все зримей?
— Точно, — удивился Шестипалый. — А откуда ты знаешь?
— Да я их уже штук пять видел, этих решительных этапов. Только называются по-разному.
— Да ну, — сказал Шестипалый. — Он же впервые происходит.
— Еще бы. Даже интересно было бы посмотреть, как он будет во второй раз происходить. Но мы немного о разном.
