http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2014/pr14399.htm
Вот еще последующая публикация, через несколько дней (мы не ожидали что все будет так плохо):In completing the review, the Executive Board approved waivers of nonobservance of performance criteria related to international reserve accumulation and the cash deficit of the general government on the basis of corrective actions taken. The Board also approved waivers of applicability of performance criteria related to the cash deficit of the general government, the cumulative change in net domestic assets of the central bank and publicly guaranteed debt.
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Downside risks to the program remain very high. The program success hinges on a timely resolution of the conflict in the East, as well as on the authorities’ strong policy performance and adherence to the planned reforms.
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/lo ... sk=41878.0
Мы оптимисты, никак не ожидали проблем, но не страшно, они не более чем временные. Будем также надеяться, что зимы в этом году не будет, если мы ее не упомянем.The first review discussions took place in a context of heightened geopolitical tensions and deepening economic crisis. Intensification of the conflict in the East and escalation of the gas dispute with Gazprom, two of the key risks identified at the time of the program request, have materialized.
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However, the deterioration in the economic outlook, fiscal and quasi-fiscal pressures, and heightened balance of payment difficulties are putting the initial program targets in jeopardy.
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There was agreement that the policy effort should focus on compensatory measures to meet key program objectives, while allowing some temporary deviations from the initial targets.
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Nonetheless, risks loom large.
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Domestically, policymaking may become more difficult in case of early elections.
